Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.021216 0.027249 0.035500 0.048093 0.067805 0.099455 0.159189
2024-12-29 0.014538 0.020654 0.030421 0.048653 0.086252 0.175315 0.490175
2025-01-05 0.010946 0.016409 0.025920 0.045963 0.095783 0.257211 1.413367
2025-01-12 0.008949 0.013951 0.023239 0.044781 0.107666 0.386792 6.384794
2025-01-19 0.007986 0.012957 0.022827 0.048263 0.138275 0.767707 4945.737247
2025-01-26 0.007421 0.012518 0.023339 0.054499 0.192546 2.139174 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006947 0.012123 0.023793 0.061113 0.270878 9.555242 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006276 0.011173 0.022618 0.061700 0.320571 46.690694 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005733 0.010392 0.021637 0.062459 0.381739 2969.146870 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005259 0.009674 0.020626 0.062549 0.445580 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004729 0.008753 0.018851 0.058386 0.445862 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.004403 0.008251 0.018134 0.058675 0.521564 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.004099 0.007815 0.017670 0.060883 0.688039 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003791 0.007327 0.016954 0.061592 0.872719 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003439 0.006681 0.015600 0.057876 0.903425 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003174 0.006214 0.014699 0.056253 1.021351 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003050 0.006077 0.014818 0.061049 1.667089 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002984 0.006073 0.015377 0.069748 3.741149 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002914 0.006047 0.015864 0.079124 10.842635 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002758 0.005771 0.015372 0.079964 19.389006 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002620 0.005527 0.014939 0.081051 41.355508 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002487 0.005281 0.014448 0.081180 97.168677 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002319 0.004920 0.013444 0.075241 80.567958 NaN NaN